Are Third World Emigration Forces Abating?

Forces Driving Third World Military Industrialization: Interests and Passions

Third World states are driven to pursue programs of military industrialization by both their interests and their passions. Interests are defined in instrumental terms, and I examine their importance in explaining the behavior of leading Third World arms producers. An analysis of time-series cross-section data for five countries from 1970 to 1990 suggests that domestic arms production has been m...

What are the chances of a third world war?

We examine statistical pictures of violent conflicts over the last 2000 years, finding techniques for dealing with incompleteness and unreliability of historical data. We introduce a novel approach to apply extreme value theory to fat-tailed variables that have a remote, but nonetheless finite upper bound, by defining a corresponding unbounded dual distribution (given that potential war casualt...

Symbolic Forces Driving Third World Arms Production: the Case of India

This paper examines the forces driving the pursuit of military production capacity in India, including those behind the Indian nuclear and space programs. We are mainly interested in whether symbolic motivations regularly find expression in the public discourse. We review all articles on the subject of weapons development and production appearing in India Today from May 1977 through December 19...

A Third World Perspective

The Third World War?